这是什么操作？订婚时才发现女婿是亲儿子！女儿却不是亲生的...

Abstract

百度 　　傅璇琮参与制订了《中国古籍整理出版十年规划和“八五”计划》《中国古籍整理出版“九五”重点规划》，撰有《唐代诗人丛考》《唐代科举与文学》《李德裕年谱》《唐翰林学士传论》《唐诗论学丛稿》等专著，有《杨万里范成大资料汇编》《唐五代人物传记资料综合索引》（合著）《李德裕文集校笺》（合著）等古籍整理著作，参与主编《中国古籍总目》《续修四库全书》《全宋诗》《全宋笔记》《全唐五代诗》《续修四库全书总目提要》及《唐五代文学编年史》《唐才子传校笺》《宋才子传校笺》《宋登科记考》《宁波通史》等。

Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) will transform modern life by reshaping transportation, health, science, finance, and the military. To adapt public policy, we need to better anticipate these advances. Here we report the results from a large survey of machine learning researchers on their beliefs about progress in AI. Researchers predict AI will outperform humans in many activities in the next ten years, such as translating languages (by 2024), writing high-school essays (by 2026), driving a truck (by 2027), working in retail (by 2031), writing a bestselling book (by 2049), and working as a surgeon (by 2053). Researchers believe there is a 50% chance of AI outperforming humans in all tasks in 45 years and of automating all human jobs in 120 years, with Asian respondents expecting these dates much sooner than North Americans. These results will inform discussion amongst researchers and policymakers about anticipating and managing trends in AI.

This article is part of the special track on AI and Society.